The government says nearly half of EU migrants receive benefits during their first years in Britain, but how is it arriving at these figures?

The government is to release analysis that claims 43% of EU migrants receive UK benefits during their first years in Britain. This represents 224,000 EU nationals, out of 526,000 new arrivals.

According to the Times (£) – which has seen the figures before their publication on Tuesday – about 148,000 of these claimants, some 66%, receive tax credits, housing benefit and other welfare handouts available to people in work.

How did Number 10 produce new migrant figs to be uses by the PM today? Here is their methodological note. Thoughts?

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